Suicide Basin started spilling over this morning and the water elevation appears to have reached temporary steady state between 3:00 and 6:00 pm today.
We flew over the site this afternoon. Some of my photos below. Water level according to our imagery was at ~442 m, about 0.5 m higher than the lowest point in the dam.
As indicated earlier, the timeline of this process is difficult to predict. I’d suspect it to unfold relatively slowly until the positive feedback starts to kick in. The 9:00 pm image from Suicide will be a good indicator on how things will evolve.